Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.858061 11.119624 12.566871 14.370115 16.585814 19.259272 22.792803
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.946366 9.535744 11.545021 14.348458 18.294942 23.890528 32.934163
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.845328 8.532698 10.800814 14.214624 19.513643 28.038892 44.481256
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.287629 8.088389 10.637942 14.741473 21.720559 34.473182 64.490051
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.595460 7.337054 9.883140 14.160222 21.891755 37.357623 79.965634
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.028231 6.688710 9.175991 13.495483 21.694956 39.395251 95.755956
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.614875 6.219658 8.677815 13.081645 21.844104 42.266529 118.519730
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.340804 5.931093 8.425335 13.046416 22.734654 47.423900 160.745612
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.309209 6.010111 8.775132 14.172355 26.485842 63.120418 321.693938
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.201062 5.953729 8.884524 14.852723 29.481302 79.701574 678.685483
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.010338 5.743989 8.698294 14.890962 30.860348 91.995611 1346.995285
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.888753 5.638148 8.685334 15.294818 33.428742 113.521752 5171.508442
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.651546 5.337259 8.316894 14.931983 33.887768 127.144704 36952.413264
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.466974 5.117089 8.086085 14.868953 35.405031 152.420312 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.293659 4.902069 7.840761 14.725124 36.631723 180.850873 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.208712 4.835407 7.876717 15.280355 40.774329 257.810270 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.020716 4.569297 7.484962 14.667598 40.031261 276.459868 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.841121 4.307907 7.081907 13.967628 38.681773 283.606138 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.700259 4.109389 6.792733 13.532291 38.347653 310.324889 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.605655 3.990233 6.657907 13.495246 39.825865 389.574799 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.616327 4.066488 6.940216 14.680381 48.121935 871.684479 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.585698 4.062212 7.048852 15.397690 54.922991 2033.940208 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.509453 3.965209 6.942741 15.438031 57.822116 3846.014156 NaN